A New National Roadway Safety Strategy…but Without the Bike Safety?
The Trump administration has published a new National Roadway Safety Strategy (NRSS). It is 12 pages long. The previous one was 42 pages. It contains 15 key activities. The previous one had 43. It likely exists as a communications strategy more than a plan to accomplish its stated goals of making roadways safer, driving fatalities toward zero and delivering the Golden Age of Transportation to the American people.
If I knew nothing else about the Trump administration’s efforts related to traffic safety, it would be a very good sign that they chose to publish a new National Roadway Safety Strategy, a document that is not required by any law but rather based on precedent. When the Biden administration published its NRSS in 2022, it was a first-of-its-kind publication from the United States Department of Transportation (USDOT) and brought a new perspective to how USDOT approaches traffic safety. Specifically, it focused on two new ideas: 1) a federal commitment to zero traffic deaths, and 2) “a Department-wide adoption of the Safe System Approach.”
The Trump administration’s choice to publish a new NRSS that carries over some of the objectives of the previous NRSS, including “DOT’s commitment to drive fatalities toward zero,” shows that the Trump administration realizes the importance of the NRSS and reinforces that a NRSS should be an ongoing effort of USDOT. Though, it may be establishing a new precedent for publishing and producing the bare minimum.
A Safe System Approach: Mission Accomplished?The Biden administration’s NRSS had a clear strategy centered around the adoption and promotion of the Safe System Approach. The Safe System Approach was explicitly recognized by USDOT as differing “significantly from a conventional safety approach in that it acknowledges both human mistakes and human vulnerability, and designs a redundant system to protect everyone.” Its difference from the typical American approach meant that significant time and resources were used to explain it, to identify six principles for it, and to create products and programs for the transportation community to drive alignment with it.
If you look at the recommendations of the Institute of Transportation Engineers, John Hopkins School of Public Health, FIA Foundation, and two dozen experts participating in the Safe System Consortium, you’ll find an emphasis on policies and programs that drive culture change towards a Safe System Approach.
The Trump administration’s new NRSS says it will “continue to embrace a holistic approach … [that] draws from established practices in the transportation sector such as the Safe System Approach.” It is not an explicit change in strategy, but does reduce the Safe System Approach, which experts believe is still in its early adoption, to a footnote that needs no more nurturing.
Safety without Speed ManagementWhile it is not discussed, the new NRSS makes a substantial change in approach by eliminating the Safer Speeds objective present in the previous NRSS. While Post-Crash Care is also eliminated as an objective, it can be found in several of the key activities. Safer Speeds are missing as an objective, missing in key activities, and attacked by actions of the administration that are not discussed in the NRSS. In July, the Trump administration removed five countermeasures from its Proven Safety Countermeasures program. While the League of American Bicyclists, and media coverage, has focused on the elimination of bike lanes from that program, the greater change for safety is likely the elimination of all three Speed Management countermeasures.
According to the Federal Highway Administration, “[t]he management of speed through appropriate speed limits is an essential element of highway safety.” By eliminating speed management countermeasures and safer speeds from its NRSS, the Trump administration is expressing that it does not see speed management as essential.
The case for speed management being essential is pretty straightforward based on the idea that “[h]uman injury tolerance has limits and Safe System strategies control the energy of moving vehicles.” Essentially, it’s basic physics. Whether a crash involves a person walking, biking, or in a vehicle, the force of a crash impacts the severity of the injury that occurs and whether a person survives. The Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles has illustrated this concept with a “bright yellow, 54-foot ladder” at events because “[a]t just 40 mph, a pedestrian struck by a car experiences the same force” as someone falling off the top of that ladder. The League of American Bicyclists’ Slow Roads Save Lives campaign centered on the importance of slower speeds in traffic safety, and the role of speed limits in creating safer streets and roads.
The Trump administration, at least, has not made a case against speed management. In its NRSS, it recognizes that “[o]f the 39,254 fatalities on our roads in 2024, about one-third involved speeding.” One of the pathways in its Pathways to Safer Streets initiative is to “reduce excessive speeding” by promoting “the smart use of technology to augment traditional law enforcement.” The Trump administration has correctly identified high-speed arterials as a place where “over half of all traffic deaths occur.” For people biking and walking, the most common speed limit on the roads where they are killed is 45 miles per hour, with speeding reported in less than 10 percent of deaths. While speeding is deadly, it is the high speeds themselves that are foundational to the problem.
If speeding is bad and high-speed arterials are a priority, why has speed management disappeared? Why wouldn’t speed safety cameras, variable speed limits, and appropriate speed limits for all road users—the Proven Safety Countermeasures removed last month—be a part of the smart use of technology that reduces excessive speeding? The physics of crashes have not changed, the limits of human injury tolerance have not changed, and the effectiveness of these countermeasures have not changed. Based on the Trump administration’s NRSS, we are only left to wonder why speed management has been demoted from essential to unworthy of promotion. It’s hard to disagree with one summary that the “department also treats safer roads as faster roads” despite established science pointing toward the need to manage speeds.
Safety without People Biking and WalkingAlso missing without explanation is any strategy for the safety of vulnerable road users—people who bike and walk, use wheelchairs and scooters, or who otherwise are endangered while navigating roads outside of vehicles. While people walking get two mentions—one about the importance of safety for a child walking to school and one about the inclusion of pedestrian safety in Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB) technology—other vulnerable road users are absent.
In 2024, bicyclists and pedestrians accounted for more than 21% of traffic fatalities in the United States with over 8,000 people killed. In each of the most recent three years of available data, bicyclist deaths have been over 1,000—higher than at any time since 1975. While the Trump administration does not mention its strategy to save the lives of bicyclists in its NRSS, its actions have focused on eliminating support for bicycle lanes, urging Congress to restrict funding for bicycle lanes, and attempting to remove specific bicycle lanes on federally-administered property. Those are not actions that reflect a commitment to “drive fatalities toward zero.”
Even in the one singular mention of a concrete action to improve pedestrian safety, the deployment of AEB, the Trump administration chose to not address ongoing litigation related to the deployment of pedestrian-AEB and an announced but not yet published amendment to the rule that requires the deployment of pedestrian-AEB that would extend the compliance date for that rule until 2031.
Safety without Previously Announced InitiativesMuch of the new NRSS, like the initial one under the Biden administration, is a rehash of activities that the administration has done, is required to do based on laws passed by Congress, or activities that will occur during the normal administration of established programs. It may be notable that some administration efforts previously announced, in addition to the pedestrian-AEB amendment, are missing, such as:
- The SAFE ROADS initiative intended to address arterial safety and to target “political messages” of art on and along roadways. Under this initiative, states like Texas forced the removal of a crosswalk featuring a depiction of Buddy Holly’s glasses and Florida forced the removal of art on nearly 300 sidewalk panels depicting moments, scenes and figures important to Sarasota’s history. In 2024, Florida had the most bicyclists killed of any state, its fifth straight year with that distinction, while Texas infamously has had at least one traffic death every single day since November 7, 2000.
- This May, USDOT proudly announced that the Tesla Model Y was the first vehicle model to pass the agency’s new benchmark for vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems through new tests added to the New Car Assessment Program (NCAP). No mention of that positive result or the existence of NCAP appears in the NRSS, despite a 10-year roadmap required by Congress that anticipates eight new tests during the Trump administration.
- In September 2025, the USDOT Office of Inspector General published an audit of the Biden administration’s NRSS, calling on USDOT to establish “methods for measuring the impact of individual actions [that] would allow DOT’s Action Team to better target future priority actions to achieve effective results in substantially reducing roadway fatalities and serious injuries.” In the newly published NRSS, the key activities provided appear to be less easy to measure. An activity like “encouraging the deployment of effective countermeasures to promote family safety” is certainly a worthy activity, but without knowing what countermeasures will be deployed, the baseline for current family safety, or how the impact on family safety will be measured, the Trump administration missed an opportunity to contrast its approach with the Biden administration and follow the recommendation of its Inspector General.
- Several of the key activities in the new NRSS involve some form of law enforcement, education, and outreach campaigns, the type of work typically funded by Highway Safety Grants. In the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Congress required a public website reporting on the use of those grants under 23 USC 402(n)(2). The Biden administration failed to produce the website required by Congress and the Trump administration missed an opportunity to show that it can deliver on this law that also would meaningfully improve transparency around whether or not its goals related education, outreach, and support for law enforcement are being realized.
At a high level, it is noteworthy and promising that the Trump administration’s NRSS draws inspiration from the Safe System Approach and reaffirms that “[z]ero is the only acceptable number of deaths on our highways, roads, and streets.” It is a good thing that having a National Roadway Safety Strategy is now expected and traffic safety is addressed as a cross-cutting priority for all administrations within USDOT.
But at most other levels, I’m left wanting to hear more about how they hope to accomplish their goals, the specific actions that they will take, and how they will update the public on their progress. If they have a theory for how removing speed management practices and bicycle lanes will improve safety, then it would be interesting to hear it. Without more substance, this NRSS fulfills the goal of replacing the one of the Biden administration but has notable blind spots as it ventures forth on the road ahead.
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